With Bihar Elections approaching fast, every party is eyeing to secure a decent victory in this do or die test. The BJP (Bhartiya Janata Party) has a tough competition from the lethal combination of its opponents. RJD (Rashtriya Janata Dal), JDU (Janata Dal United) and Congress will force BJP to put in every effort to secure the majestic Modi wave effect in the state which is the hotbed for politics.
- It is said that it was Party president, Amit Shah’s strategy which lead BJP to a victory in the Lok Sabha elections 2014 but the same strategist had to taste defeat in the Delhi Assembly Polls. The reason behind was the strong opposition in Delhi, so is the case in Bihar.With RJD, JDU and Congress together, Amit Shah will have to put an extra ordinary effort for the elections in the state. The anti-incumbency factor against Congress worked favourably in 2014 but the case is very different in 2015 state elections.
- The rocky start of the Monsoon Session will not prove much productive for the government. The entire session is expected to have hullabaloo over the Vyapam Scam and Lalit Gate controversy. In such a scene it is impossible for government to pass key legislations like GST Bill and Land Acquisition Bill due to lack of majority in Rajya Sabha. If BJP secures good numbers in Bihar the road will automatically be easy in the upper house of the parliament also. In the view of 2019 general elections, Bihar is very important for the BJP.
- BJP is currently dominating the half Hindi belt- Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Rajasthan and Jharkhand. Victory in Bihar would add a feather to the cap. It would also give BJP an edge in the UP elections in 2017 which is again a significant factor in deciding the power at the centre.
- According to sources, the RSS (Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh) is not happy with the working of Modi Sarkar and many letters have been shot off to the RSS head Mohan Bhagwat in Nagpur. Modi wave might get dull in Bihar due to the lack of visible work done by the government in past 14 months.
- There is a wave of unhappiness within the BJP over Shah’s working. Many BJP workers are not happy with him. Many even term him as an autocrat who has full support of Narendra Modi. According to sources, many BJP MPs and workers find him unreachable. If BJP looses Bihar polls, Shah might not be able to renew his president ship which is due in January 2016.
It is very clear that BJP will not let go Bihar easily. Post Delhi, Shah and BJP will find out some way to maintain the momentum of victory. It has already launched 160 GPS enabled chariots to carry the message of change to the voters. Prime Minister is all set to launch the campaign “Booth Jeetenge toh Chunaav Jeetenge” on July 25. It will focus on campaigning at the block and Panchayat level.
Though BJP won 13 out of 24 seats in the legislative council elections in Bihar, the atmosphere is very different for the state assembly elections and BJP will have to pull up the socks. Earlier BJP was in Bihar with the NDA alliance which has JDU in it but now with the alliance broken, it would be interesting to see the battle unfold.